Youths whose hopes of getting a job in the formal market do not look
good at all according the International Labour Organisation (ILO), many
of them, frustrated and dejected, have stopped looking for work
altogether. PHOTO/FILE
Owen Anyasi is a graduate of IT.
He
previously had dreams of working in a company as a systems developer,
designer or network administrator. Instead, he works in a tiny stall
embellished with posters of the latest movies.
The
stall is on a narrow street connecting to Moi Avenue in Nairobi. He sits
there all day
downloading and burning movies off the Internet, and offers them for sale to clients looking for cheap films for home entertainment. His is an outfit that bootlegs movies and music.
downloading and burning movies off the Internet, and offers them for sale to clients looking for cheap films for home entertainment. His is an outfit that bootlegs movies and music.
This
23-year-old graduated a year ago. A friend he went to school with, he
says, is doing the same business in another part of the city. It is
about survival, he declares.
Owen and his friend are
among a statistic of youths whose hopes of getting a job in the formal
market do not look good at all. And sadly according the International
Labour Organisation (ILO), many of them, frustrated and dejected, have
stopped looking for work altogether.
Statistics
released by the ILO last month show that the inactivity rate for young
people reached 60.5 per cent in 2012 – an increase of five percentage
points since 2000.
PESSIMISTIC OUTLOOK
The
statistics show that very few youths are entering the job market
because even where there are available opportunities, it is the older
adults who are disproportionately benefiting from the share of the jobs
created, compounding the already complicated perennial problem of youth
unemployment.
As such, the youth employment rate in
Kenya, at 32.8 per cent, is less than half the adult employment rate and
one of the lowest in the region.
This, says ILO, is
part of the reason many educated young people have stopped applying for
jobs. They are increasingly pessimistic about their employment
prospects. Like Owen and his friend, they are the ones starting
small-time businesses with little chance for growth.
The report confirms that majority of jobs created in Kenya have been through informal sector enterprises.
In
the past decade alone, states ILO, non-agricultural informal-sector
employment rose by approximately 5.1 million or 7.2 per cent per year,
far outstripping the growth in formal waged employment. As a result,
employment in the informal-sector constituted 64 per cent of total
employment in 2011, and 85 per cent when small-scale agricultural
activities are considered.
Moreover, the vast majority
of formal jobs in Kenya have been casual in nature. Between 2003 and
2011, regular employment grew by 7 per cent compared to 87 per cent
growth in casual employment.
In 2011, only one quarter of the population aged 15 to 34 in Kenya believed it was a good time to find a job.
Creation
of adequate, productive and sustainable jobs to absorb the growing
labour force has remained a major policy challenge for the Kenya
government since independence.
“It is important to note
that considerable efforts have been put by the government in recent
years to support the labour market, and especially the youth. However, a
stronger link between growth, employment and equity would be necessary
to boost job-rich growth and ensure that all Kenyans benefit equally
from the country’s prosperity,” says Verónica Escudero, ILO economist
and one of the authors of the report.
“Effective social
dialogue between the government, employers and workers can not only
lead to the best possible policies but also ensure that they are
implemented effectively,” advises Elva López Mourelo, co-author of the
report.
Between 1991 and 2003, the employment rate in
Kenya fell by over seven per cent from 67 per cent to 59.7 per cent.
Even during the most recent period of strong and persistent economic
growth, employment growth only kept pace with the working-age
population.
Accordingly in 2012, the employment rates,
at just over 60 per cent, remained well below the levels achieved in
the 1990s and considerably lower than the average for sub-Saharan Africa
(65.1 per cent).
COMPLEX PROBLEM
While
the government has implemented a series of programmes, such as the
Kenya Youth Empowerment Project to address the employment challenges
confronting young people, ILO is of the view that such initiatives have
been too general to deal with the problem sustainably.
The
global labour organisation recommends that the government re-orients
the suite of existing programmes with a view to better aligning them
with youth employment challenges.
Economist Kwame
Owino, who is the CEO of the Institute of Economic Affairs, wants it
known though that unemployment is not just a problem for the youth. He
argues that growth in jobs, especially the formal sector, has been very
poor relative to the numbers that are turning to the job market.
“There
are many people who are not youths and are not in retirement age, but
they too cannot find employment,” he points out. He would rather see the
matter tackled as a general unemployment problem.
Nonetheless,
he admits that the youth are the majority of the unemployed, given the
countries demographics, where 70-80 per cent of those searching for jobs
are below 35 years.
He warns though that the question of youth unemployment is so complex with multiple subsets that require separate resolutions.
For
instance, he explains, the reason some young people don’t have jobs and
won’t find decent employment is either because they did not attain the
desired education or there has been a mismatch between the levels and
areas of their training in relation to job market needs.
To
him, therefore, unemployment is a structural problem that needs
multi-sectorial interventions, including re-orientation and
implementation of education and training, to put them in synch with
industry needs.
But most importantly, he advises,
the government needs to move away from treating the symptoms of
unemployment to dealing with the causes of the problem.
This
makes it imperative that the employment challenge facing the country is
broken down into its main causes and specific strategies designed and
implemented to deal with each type of unemployment. This is to ensure
proper and effective policy targeting, he explains.
“The
government is trying so hard to deal with the supply side and not the
demand side of the problem, which is the growth of employers like
manufacturing plants, and direct investment into production or business
and firms that will create demand for workers,” he argues.
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