By PETERSON THIONG’O, The EastAfrican
Kenya’s parliament is proposing that the country
pegs interest paid on deposits as a fraction of the rate that banks
charge customers for loans, reigniting the debate on introducing
interest caps.
In its August report on the state of the economy, the Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) — the agency that advises the country’s lawmakers on how the economy is performing — said banks have been reluctant to raise rates on deposits while they continued charging high interest rates on loans.
“The high interest rate spread in commercial banks remains a source of concern, with banks making supernormal profits at the expense of depositors. In order to narrow the spread and protect the welfare of depositors, deposit rates could be set as a specified proportion of a bank’s base lending rate,” said the office in the report released last week.
Rising inflation
Whereas the country’s banks charge an average
interest rate of 16.97 per cent, they only offer an average of 1.73 per
cent on customer deposits, meaning that the interest rate spread — the
difference between what banks pay depositors and the rate banks charge
on loans — is 15 per cent.
The PBO said such a policy on deposit rates, coupled with cheaper banks loans, should give the economy a much-needed boost. Lending rates have been on a consistently downward trend, albeit slight in recent months following the reduction in the Central Bank Rate, which currently stands at 8.5 per cent.
Ideally, this should signal commercial banks to lower their lending rates, thereby boosting private sector credit. The CBK’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meets on Tuesday this week to assess the state of the economy and discuss the CBR.
Inflation has been rising over the past three months from 4.05 per cent in May to 4.91 per cent in June and a 12-month high of 6.02 per cent in July. The surge in inflation is likely to inform the direction the CBK will take on the CBR.
Since the beginning of the year, Kenya has enjoyed a fairly stable inflation rate that was well within the government target of 5 per cent.
In a report released on Friday, the National Treasury says Kenya’s economy is expected to grow by 5.6 per cent this year, up from the 4.7 per cent of last year, aided by a buoyant agriculture sector and expanded infrastructure.
The country is hoping to attract more foreign direct investment in the wake of a smooth political transition that has raised business leaders’ confidence in the economy to new highs.
“Stabilising prices will be crucial to achieving this growth. A stable macroeconomic environment is a critical prerequisite for financial services development,” said Treasury Secretary Henry Rotich.
Kenya’s listed firms are banking on the renewed confidence in the economy to grow their profitability further, with most posting impressive results in the current reporting period. On Thursday, KCB Group reported an 18 per cent increase in net profit to Ksh7.1 billion ($83.5 million), making it the most profitable of the five biggest banks.
Equity Bank reported a 16.75 per cent growth in profit after tax to Ksh6.3 billion ($73.3 million), Standard Chartered Bank’s profits remained flat at Ksh4.52 ($53.1 million), while Co-operative Bank posted a 17 per cent rise to Ksh4.7 billion ($55.2 million). Barclays Bank earnings dropped from $48.5 million to $42.5 million.
Over the past two years, a section of Kenyan legislators have attempted to put in laws defining the level of interest spreads that Kenyan banks should charge, but the efforts have flopped.
In February last year, a parliamentary committee
set up to investigate the reasons for the shilling’s rapid depreciation —
it had lost about 30 per cent of its value in a space of less than
three months — had termed the prevailing interest rates as “unrealistic,
harmful and untenable,” recommending that parliament and stakeholders
should find a way of lowering the rate.
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