Regional beer giant East African Breweries Ltd is expected to
spend at least $18.7 million on the purchase of an extra stake in
Serengeti Breweries, signaling the company’s growing faith in future
prospects of the Tanzanian market.
EABL has been
seeking to plug revenue holes punched by tight regulations and increased
taxes in Kenya and Ugandan markets, where the respective governments
have been seeking to regulate consumption of alcohol.
The
Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) listed brewer, whose shares are also
traded on the Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange (DSE) and the Uganda
Securities Exchange (USE), last week issued a cautionary statement,
advising investors that it was in the process of acquiring an additional
30 per cent shareholding in Serengeti Breweries Ltd (SBL) subject to
regulatory approvals in the respective countries.
“Shareholders of EABL and the public are advised to exercise caution when dealing in shares of EABL,” said the company.
Although the company declined to disclose the value of the deal, The EastAfrican has estimated the value of the proposed transaction to be about Ksh1.87 billion ($18.7 million).
This
is based on the firm’s effective ownership interest of 72.5 per cent in
SBL, which was priced at a book value of Ksh15.99 billion ($159.9
million) as at June 30, 2019.
In June 2018, EABL increased its effective interest in SBL by conversion of loans receivable amounting to Ksh15.3 billion ($153 million) into equity, representing an additional 21.5 per cent shareholding.
In June 2018, EABL increased its effective interest in SBL by conversion of loans receivable amounting to Ksh15.3 billion ($153 million) into equity, representing an additional 21.5 per cent shareholding.
As a result, EABL’s effective interest increased from 51 per
cent to 72.5 per cent while the legal shareholding remained at 51 per
cent.
The beer maker last year completed the purchase
of an additional 4 per cent of the share capital of SBL for $3 million,
increasing its shareholding to 55 per cent.
If the
latest acquisition proposal is successful, then EABL’s legal
shareholding in SBL will rise to 85 per cent, from the current 55 per
cent.
Analysts at Standard Investment Bank (SIB) expect
the proposed transaction to include the effective economic interest
already acquired by the brewer, so that the only additional amount
payable is for the acquisition of the 8.5 per cent stake needed to reach
the 30 per cent target.
“We expect the proposed transaction to include the effective economic interest so that only an additional amount would be payable for the 8.5 per cent stake needed to reach the target,” SIB said in a note sent to investors.
“We expect the proposed transaction to include the effective economic interest so that only an additional amount would be payable for the 8.5 per cent stake needed to reach the target,” SIB said in a note sent to investors.
Failure
by the SBL minority shareholders to pay off the EABL loan saw EABL
acquire 21.5 per cent of SBL shares through debt-to-equity conversion.
During
the year ended June 30, 2019, EABL only received Ksh16 million
($160,000) as partial repayment of the loan, according to firm’s annual
report.
“Based on our estimates, the transaction is
mildly dilutive to EABL shareholders but given the strong recovery we
have seen in Tanzania, the transaction will be positive for shareholders
of EABL in the long term.”
EABL Group chief executive
Andrew Cowan did not respond to our questions e-mailed through the
company’s communications department by the time of going to press.
Growing business
SBL
has turned out to be EABL’s fastest growing business in the region,
having accounted for 12 per cent of the total sales in the half-year
ended December 2019.
During the six months’ to December
31 2019, EABL’s net profit increased 9 per cent to Ksh7.2 billion ($72
million) from Ksh6.6 billion ($66 million) in the same period in 2018,
with net sales in Tanzania growing by 19 per cent compared with 10 per
cent and eight per cent in Uganda and Kenya respectively.
Net
sales from this Tanzanian unit rose 26 per cent during this period, the
fastest among the three units, driven by increased sales of its
Serengeti Lite brand.
SBL has three processing plants spread out across Tanzania in Dar es Salaam, Mwanza and Moshi.
Although
Tanzania’s overall contribution to the group’s performance is the
lowest, at 13 per cent compared with its main market Kenya at 71 per
cent and Uganda at 16 per cent, the market is on a positive growth path
prompting EABL to increase its shareholding in SBL.
EABL
acquired 51 per cent shareholding in SBL in October 2010 amid
challenges with the Tanzanian Fair Competition Commission (FCC) over an
alleged failure to meet the conditions of the merger, agreement
including improving the performance of SBL.
In July
2015, Tanzania’s FCC threatened to cancel EABL’s 51 per cent stake in
SBL. However, EABL said the matter was resolved in July 2017.
In
Kenya, EABL is worried that the repeated increase in excise tax by the
government is having a negative impact on its business, particularly
bottled beer brands, which posted a one per cent decline in sales.
The
Kenyan government has increased excise taxes on beer and spirit to 5.2
per cent and 15 per cent respectively, making these drinks out of reach
for many consumers.
“While we acknowledge the need for
government to grow its revenue, we are sensitive that this will impact
consumers’ ability to afford our products, thus potentially drawing more
of them to consumption of illicit alcohol,” said Charles Muchene, EABL
chairman, in the Group’s 2019 annual report.
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