Reuters
Oil prices rose on Friday, extending the previous session’s gains, as
major producers began output cuts to offset a slump in fuel demand
triggered by the coronavirus pandemic while data showed U.S. crude
inventories grew less than expected.
Still, prices gave up some of their earlier gains as the month of May
began with more of the volatility that made last month one of the most
turbulent in the history of oil trading, when U.S. futures briefly
crashed into negative territory.
Brent crude LCOc1 for July delivery, which started trading on Friday as
the new front-month contract, was up 34 cents, or 1.3%, at $26.82 a
barrel by 0318 GMT. Brent rose 12% on Thursday and rose about 11% in
April, but the international benchmark has sagged around 60% this year
on the coronavirus impact.
U.S. crude CLc1 for June delivery rose 70 cents, or 3.7%, to $19.54 a
barrel, having gained 25% in the previous session. But U.S. oil fell for
a fourth month in April and has tumbled 70% this year.
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Reflecting
the output cuts agreed between OPEC and other major producers like
Russia, a grouping known as OPEC+, the imbalance between oil supply and
demand is to set to be halved to 13.6 million barrels per day (bpd) in
May, and drop further to 6.1 million bpd in June, according to Rystad
Energy.
“While this may seem like a drastic improvement from April, the oil
market is not magically fixed,” said Rystad oil market analyst Louise
Dickson.
“The storage issue still looms large,” she said, referring to
storage space around the world rapidly dwindling.
Prices are likely to fall further this year even as countries begin to
ease restrictions imposed to counter the viral outbreak and the output
cuts by big producers will not fix the supply glut, a Reuters poll
showed on Thursday.
Some analysts estimate the shortfall is as much as around 30 million bpd
of demand that has evaporated amid the coronavirus pandemic, with much
of the world’s population still under some form of economic and social
lockdown.
That dwarfs the nearly 10 million bpd cuts agreed between the
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other
producers, reductions that officially kick in from Friday.
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Also
supporting prices was data from the U.S. Energy Information
Administration data showing crude inventories rose by 9 million barrels
last week to 527.6 million barrels, less than the 10.6 million-barrel
rise analysts had forecast in a Reuters poll.
“This is a second straight week of inventory and product demand figures
suggesting a bottoming of the U.S. market,” said Stephen Innes, chief
market strategist at AxiCorp.
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