Improve agriculture to stimulate growth. FILE PHOTO | NMG
Summary
- Labour-intensive manufacturing, to be straight, the one kind that has been a ladder for many of the world’s poorest nations, has traditionally meant textiles, with banks of people sitting at tiny tables sewing in button holes, or adding collars or zips to the world’s clothing.
- We are not in an ideal position to be a big clothing manufacturer, as we don’t yet have much of our own oil to make synthetic fabrics, such as nylon and the like, nor much cotton or general fabric production.
I don’t count as in the
vanguard on this, but, last week, I finally took the time to read the
BBI Report, and found, quite unexpectedly, that I was very bothered by
its formula for prosperity. For, the report covers ten areas with 402
recommendations, but the most fall under prosperity, at 82.
This
focus on prosperity is all good and well: times only seem to get
financially harder in our nation. And the struggle to make ends meet
isn’t bringing out the best in many people. The harder things get, the
more resentment festers and fights break out. Tensions are surely
running high.
But the shocker for me in reading this
latest formula for greater net happiness was how fixed, dated and stuck
the recipe for creating Kenyan wealth was. The emphasis was on
innovation as the route to a wealthier nation, founded in
industrialization.
Indeed, it read like an A level
student had swept in and said ‘hey guys, there’s more value addition in
manufacturing, let’s go there’ and been capped only by student 2, who
said, ‘but, you know, innovation is good too’. So that’s got the
prosperity answer sorted. Out came the future, under shared prosperity,
as: we need labour-intensive manufacturing to give us enough jobs.
Labour-intensive
manufacturing, to be straight, the one kind that has been a ladder for
many of the world’s poorest nations, has traditionally meant textiles,
with banks of people sitting at tiny tables sewing in button holes, or
adding collars or zips to the world’s clothing.
We are not in an ideal position to be a big clothing
manufacturer, as we don’t yet have much of our own oil to make synthetic
fabrics, such as nylon and the like, nor much cotton or general fabric
production.
But my issue with the ‘manufacturing is the
answer’ approach of the report, is not any case against manufacturing,
as such. Value addition is definitely the way to pull up Kenyan wealth,
and labour-intensive manufacturing is the most viable way to begin, as
it doesn’t require big pots of capital investment and it does create
jobs, which we need.
Moreover, as the BBI report gets
to solution number 5, it moves harder into agriculture as the base for
all this industrialization, which seems spot on. It asks that the
government aggressively seek new markets, and that early-stage food and
product processing be encouraged in every village.
Indeed,
from solutions 25 to 30, we even turn to farming, with one mention of
the need to raise productivity: and there lies my issue. For as the BBI
Report spins off and around that point with calls for low taxes, and low
debt, and many other things, the fleeting mentions of agriculture are
too fleeting.
Bailouts, it suggests, should encourage
farmers to move into other, more profitable crops. I wouldn’t disagree.
But in our nation where the FAO has reported that the single greatest
handicap on our agricultural productivity is farm management skills –
and that’s the biggest handicap of a long list of handicaps, in fact –
and our agricultural extension, research and farmer support has
substantially broken down, the inattention to resolving our underlying
problem of poor productivity is lame, to say the least.
For
any student of industrialsation will know that before industry moves
agriculture. Again and again, globally, it is an agrarian revolution
that has preceded and fueled an industrial revolution. Trying to race
into industry from a stagnant agricultural base has never yet been
achieved.
Ethiopia is going like a rocket beside us,
based on agricultural growth first. Rwanda, likewise. The FAO says we in
Kenya have the conditions and potential to be the bread basket of much
of Africa – making the food that everyone needs.
Yet
here we have our biggest report for years in terms of vision, and the
imperative, and potential, and requirements of ‘food first’ are simply
absent.
So all that value addition is supposedly to be
built on the basis of our very low yields, and that isn’t hopeful at
all. For high yields will make for a lot more processing jobs, if only
we could bury our aversion to farming as, truly, our economic saviour.
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