Commercial banks are emerging as the biggest beneficiaries of
the switch to new Sh1,000 notes, as the rush to return the old currency
has handed them cheap deposits for onward lending to borrowers.
The
banks, which gained Sh25 billion in deposits in June alone, the first
month of demonetisation of the old currency, have maintained their
preference for lending to the Treasury, starving households and
businesses of loans.
Mentoria Economics chief economist
Ken Gichiga on Thursday said the banks’ refusal to lend to businesses,
citing legal control on the cost of loans, is a key barrier against the
economic impact that the currency change process would have had if the
cheap cash deposits were lent to enterprises.
“The
demonetisation has seen banks receiving massive deposits, but this would
only have had a better impact in the economy if the banks would
increase lending to the SMEs and individuals. The banks who have been
unhappy with the rate-capping will obviously continue lending to the
government, which is their safest bet for now. Unless this changes, we
are not likely to reap from the demonetisation,” said Mr Gichiga
Thursday at a media briefing organised by the Kenya Business Guide in
Nairobi.
Central Bank of Kenya’s (CBK) latest data
shows currency outside banks dropped from Sh222 billion in May to
Sh196.9 billion in June, being 11.3 percent month-on-month drop.
The
Sh25.1 billion drop in currency circulating outside commercial banks in
June was the highest in 30 months, in a period that coincided with
banks starting the mopping up of old Sh1,000 notes following the June 1
Madaraka Day announcement of demonetisation.
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