Kenyan banks’ non-performing loan (NPL) ratios are among the
most elevated among major economies in Africa, and are likely to be
exacerbated by continued delays in payment by government to contractors
and suppliers who owe lenders billions of shillings.
Global
ratings agency Moody’s says in a new report on African banks that weak
risk-management practices in the past have also contributed to the
fairly high dud assets ratios among African banks, with many of those
assessed lying above 10 percent.
Latest Central Bank of
Kenya (CBK) data shows the ratio of bad loans to total loan book among
Kenyan banks stood at 12.3 percent at the end of October, having come
down from 12.7 percent in August largely due to improved recovery
efforts on the trade, personal and household sectors.
Out
of 11 African countries profiled by Moody’s in the report, only Angola,
Ghana and Democratic Republic of Congo have a higher ratio than Kenya,
at about 25, 22 and 18 percent respectively.
“Government
arrears remain high (five per cent of GDP on average, according to IMF
estimates), hurting the loan repayment capacity of contractors and
sub-contractors of government projects. Risks are compounded by the fact
that–in some cases –problematic direct and indirect exposures to the
government are not classified as nonperforming,” said Moody’s in the
report.
Other countries profiled include Egypt, Mauritius, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa, Tanzania and Tunisia.
The
ratings agency added that the introduction of new IFRS 9 accounting
standards across most African countries signals a rise in loan-loss
provisioning coverage, thus cutting the risk associated with bad loans.
Kenyan
lenders have already adopted these accounting standards, although most
have been cutting their provisions in spite of the rising NPL load.
While
Moody’s also flags foreign-currency loans to borrowers as a potential
problem due to local currencies depreciation, Kenyan banks would be
fairly insulated from this risk given that most of their lending is in
shillings.
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