London/New York/Singapore
After
bouncing up, falling down and keeping investors on the edges of their
seats, bitcoin may be maturing into a period of relatively boring
stability, experts say.
A worldwide wave of regulation has led to a collapse in trading volumes.
Cryptocurrency advertisements are disappearing from top internet pages, and bitcoin no longer dominates Google searches.
As investors try to figure out what bitcoin wants to be when it
grows up, the best-known cryptocurrency is going through somewhat of an
existential crisis.
'New narrative'
“It needs a new narrative,” said Nicholas Colas, New York-based founder of investment research firm DataTrek.
“There is every chance that if there is some sort of institutional involvement, there could be a move higher.”
Bitcoin rallied 25 per cent in April after crashing 70 per cent from a high near $20,000 late last year.
The cryptocurrency landscape has indeed changed.
Mom-and-pop
investors who drove bitcoin’s skyrocket rise in 2017 have been pushed
aside by government bans on trading, and replaced by cryptocurrency
funds, wealthy individuals and established financial firms.
The
bigger players can make bigger moves, but their trades are often
obscured by screens on over-the-counter (OTC) brokerages and matching
platforms.
No sudden swings
They
are also less likely to chase sudden swings in bitcoin’s value, being
more interested in the potential of unproven but promising blockchain
technology.
Average daily traded volumes across
cryptocurrency exchanges fell to $9.1 billion in March and to $7.4
billion in the first half of April, compared with almost $17 billion in
December, according to data compiled by crypto analysis website
CryptoCompare.
Several exchanges saw their daily
trading volumes drop by more than half between December and March,
including Bitfinex, Poloniex, Coinbase and Bitstamp, the data shows.
Cryptocurrencies’ biggest-ever trading day was Dec 22, when volumes topped $30 billion, according to CryptoCompare.
On April 8, volume sagged to $4.6 billion, the weakest day since last October, according to the data.
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