From left, Amama Mbabazi, Yoweri Museveni and, Kizza Besigye. PHOTOS | DAILY MONITOR
By GAAKI KIGAMBO
In Summary
There have been calls against vote rigging on the
presidential campaign trail, but the eagerness by the three major
candidates — President Yoweri Museveni, Dr Kizza Besigye and Amama
Mbabazi — to protect their votes appears to be a key determinant, notes a
new study published in the East African Journal of Peace and Human
Rights.
Vote protection has been drummed up especially by Dr Besigye,
the candidate for the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC), who claims that
he has been rigged out in all the past three elections he has been
involved in.
His insistence is backed by two rulings from the Supreme Court
on election fraud, a number of election observer reports about the same
and more recently, utterances by a high ranking army official who was
involved in the 2006 elections.
His party has frequently been faulted for lacking a nationwide
network that is present at all the 28,010 polling stations where ballot
stuffing reportedly happens.
As if to mitigate this shortcoming, FDC is reportedly organising
networks of 10 people, the so-called Power 10 groups, whose many tasks
include protecting the party’s votes.
Equally, Mr Mbabazi, a former prime minister and independent
candidate, has hinted that he has a plan up his sleeve to guard his
votes.
President Museveni, like Mr Mbabazi, has not said how he intends
to guard his votes even if he has sounded strong warnings against the
opposition — who he said were scheming to rig the polls!
According to President Museveni, one of the planned ways is to
use computers to change the results at the stage of transmission — a
veiled dig at Mr Mbabazi who, at one of his campaign rallies, said
elections are rigged at the main tallying centres by altering results
electronically.
“I do not think the stealing will be so blatant this time round.
It seems all the candidates are fearful that their votes will be stolen
including President Museveni.
The effect of everyone protecting his votes will be that either
we will have a smooth election or it will be outright chaos as everyone
tries to ‘protect’ his votes,” said Kasaija Apuuli, the author of
Uganda’s 2016 General Elections: Preparations and Implications.
Previous vote protection efforts have spawned clashes such as in
the 2011 Kampala mayoral race, which was temporarily suspended after
supporters of Erias Lukwago stormed a couple of polling stations where
they suspected ballot stuffing was taking place and shut them down.
Mr Kasaija’s study analyses 10 issues that he feels have the
potential to affect the outcome of next month’s elections. These are:
The state of the economy, the actual management of the elections by the
current Electoral Commission, the state of political parties and civil
society and failed electoral reforms.
Others are: The continued involvement of security forces and
vigilante groups in the electoral process; the creation of new
constituencies; the failed opposition alliance; and the international
community.
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