South Sudan's President Salva Kiir (C) signs a peace agreement as
Kenya's President Uhuru Kenyatta (back left), Ethiopia's Prime Minister
Hailemariam Desalegn (back 2nd left) and Uganda's President Yoweri
Museveni (back centre) look on in Juba on August 26, 2015. PHOTO |
CHARLES LOMODONG |
AFP
By Michael Thon
In Summary
- If implemented to the letter, the deal will provide citizens with some rare opportunities. Key among them is devolution. The agreement has stipulated that resources will be devolved to the states and counties to improve service delivery.
- The constitution-making process will provide an opportunity for ordinary citizens to participate and determine how they want to be governed. The process will open up the debate on federalism.
After 20 months of fighting, on and off negotiations, South
Sudan’s political leaders finally signed the compromise peace agreement
that was mediated by IGAD-plus at the Ethiopian capital Addis Ababa.
Rebel leader Riek Machar and former detainee Pagan Amum signed
the peace deal on August 17, while President Salva Kiir signed the
agreement on August 26 in Juba despite having reservations on some of
the provisions of the peace deal.
The agreement was imposed on warring parties by IGAD-Plus after
President Barack Obama issued directives that gave both parties up to
August 17 to agree and sign the deal or face sanctions that would target
individuals who are perceived to be obstructing peace.
The United Nations Security Council had at that time already
passed a resolution to unanimously impose sanctions on South Sudan if
the warring parties failed to sign a deal by President Obama’s deadline.
The parties did not agree on contentious issues such as
power-sharing ratio, security arrangement, structure of the government
and system of governance during the transitional period. However,
options became limited for both and they had to sign an agreement that
they and their supporters perceived as an imposed one.
Now that the peace deal is signed, all eyes will be on the leaders to see how they implement the agreement.
But, what does the peace deal mean for the common citizens of
South Sudan? Reading the compromise agreement, it is imperative to note
that there are opportunities inasmuch as there are challenges that will
constrain the transitional government during its 30 months in power.
If implemented to the letter, the deal will provide citizens
with some rare opportunities. Key among them is devolution. The
agreement has stipulated that resources will be devolved to the states
and counties to improve service delivery.
For the past 10 years, 80 per cent of the country’s national
budget has been spent in Juba and only 20 per cent spent in the states.
Perhaps this will be an opportunity to revisit John Garang’s philosophy
of “Taking towns to the people.”
The agreement has empowered communities with natural resources
to have a right to participate in the decision-making process and in
negotiations for contracts for exploration, development and production.
This will ensure grassroot participation in resource management.
The constitution-making process will provide an opportunity for
ordinary citizens to participate and determine how they want to be
governed. The process will open up the debate on federalism.
Institutional reforms will provide the basis for how
institutions such as the army will be made professional and for
recruitment to reflect the diversity of the country.
The Bank of South Sudan will be independent in order to
formulate monetary policies and promote price stability, while the
anti-corruption commission and national audit chamber will be
independent of the executive to ensure checks and balances.
Demilitarisation of Juba is very unpopular among the rank and
file of the SPLA. The military considers demilitarisation an
infringement on the sovereignty of the country and a betrayal of their
hard-won Independence.
This could undermine the implementation of the peace deal
because the military may not agree to leave Juba and if they are forced
to do so could mutiny.
Power sharing is seen as rewarding the rebellion. Government
supporters questioned the rationale behind the decision of the mediators
to give rebels the governorship of the two oil-rich states of Unity and
Upper Nile, which are largely under the control of the government.
The split within the armed opposition is also a threat to the
peace deal. The breakaway factions of Peter Gadet and Gathouth Gatkouth
voiced their opposition to the compromise deal saying they will not
recognise the transitional government headed by President Kiir and Dr
Machar.
It is highly expected that the two generals will remain in the bush.
With all the pros and cons of the peace agreement, the future of
South Sudan lies in the hands of its leaders. They need to forgo their
individual interests and that of their tribes to implement the peace
deal for the interest of the common man.
Michael Thon is a former host of Wake up Juba, a political talk show at Radio Bakhita
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