The hack in me is conditioned to taking a jaundiced view of anything and everything.
My antenna has been on high alert with the criminal failures in our national security systems.
I
am just waiting for some nabobs in the security establishment to come
up with that tired and hackneyed finger-pointing on the massacre of two
dozen policemen in the Baringo-Turkana-West Pokot conflict theatre and
the bizarre raid on the Nyali Kenya Army barracks by some desperadoes
armed only with pangas and knives.
Do not be surprised
if somebody high up calls a press conference to claim that the conflicts
across three-quarters of Kenya are fuelled by Western countries jealous
of Kenya’s peace, progress, and development.
We will
be told that the International Criminal Court is working with the
political opposition to sabotage the government of President Uhuru
Kenyatta and Deputy President William Ruto and that, of course, NGOs and
the media are funded and working at the behest of foreign masters to
fuel conflict.
We have already been told not too long
ago that all the insecurity attributed to Al-Shabaab should actually be
blamed on the opposition and foreign agents, so nothing is impossible.
The
problem is that the more the government comes out with all the tired
propaganda, the more I begin to think that perhaps all these attacks and
killings are the work of a system determined to create diversions.
The
tactics of the Nyayo era where any challenge to misrule was invariably
blamed on “traitors” and “foreign masters” seem to be back in full
swing.
I honestly would not put it beyond some of the
ham-fisted security operatives to manufacturer a crisis every so often
as a means of rallying support for the government.
CREEPING MILITARISATION
Sometimes
it seems that someone is deliberately creating the environment where
the regular forces of law and order are deemed incapable so the military
must be deployed across wider and wider swatches of the country.
With
the military in charge, it often follows that civil liberties and
constitutional protections to life, liberty, and justice are suspended,
as has widely been seen wherever the army has been called out on
security operations.
This may look like a nightmare scenario, but the creeping militarisation under the Uhuru-Ruto regime is all too evident.
What
I cannot quite put a finger on is whether the military is being called
to put out fires in emergency situations where civil authority has
genuinely failed or whether those fires are lit to provide the pretext
for intervention on that scale.
I believe that the
security situation in northern Kenya, the north-eastern region, and now
coast is completely unacceptable for any modern state.
Kenya is joining the ranks of failed states when well over half the country is not under the control of the security forces.
Unless
the sternest action is taken, what we might see as localised and clan
and ethnic conflicts will escalate into full-blown insurgencies that
will surely dismember the country.
The government has
always had the manpower and resources to stem the slow and steady
upsurge of traditional conflicts into something much more serious, but
for some reason has preferred to divert its attentions elsewhere, as in
ensuring obscene wealth for the ruling class.
Now it
wants to act after the horse has bolted, but we must wonder whether the
latest security crackdowns will meet with the same ignoble failures of
the past.
I do not have much hope because the fellows
responsible for the criminal security failures are the same discredited
lot now tasked with containing the situation.
The entire security apparatus, starting with the head, is rotten and cannot be relied on to deliver.
*****
I
was on Nation FM’s "State of the Nation" last week when I ventured that
unless opposition leader Raila Odinga did away with the “Men-in-Black”
phenomena, he would remain tainted and incapable of projecting himself
as a tolerant, democratic leader.
Shortly afterwards a group of thugs assaulted and frog-marched the party’s executive director out of an ODM Parliamentary Group meeting.
mgaitho@ke.nationmedia.com. @MachariaGaitho
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