Politics and policy
By Reuters
In Summary
A row between Kenya and Somalia over their maritime
border may deter multinational oil companies from exploring for oil and
gas offshore east Africa, and a Somali official warned that the argument
could escalate.
The two coastal nations disagree over the location of their
boundary line in the Indian Ocean. At stake are their legal claims to
sell rights for exploration and collect revenue from any discovery.
Kenya recently identified eight new offshore
exploration blocks available for licensing, and all but one of them are
located in the contested area.
"The issue between Somalia and Kenya is not a
dispute; it is a territorial argument that came after oil and gas
companies became interested in the region," Abdullahi Haji, Somalia's
minister of foreign affairs, told Reuters in Mogadishu.
"If the argument continues unsolved, it will change
into a dispute that may result at least in souring the deep relation
between our two countries and (cause a) war at last," he said.
East Africa has become a hot spot for oil and gas
exploration, spurred by new finds in waters off countries including
Uganda, Tanzania and Mozambique. In the Horn of Africa, Somalia's
semi-autonomous Puntland and Somaliland regions have also licensed
exploration blocks.
Kenya announced its first oil discovery in March by British oil firm Tullow Plc, which was on land.
The row between Kenya and Somalia threatens to
upend some exploration rights that Kenya has granted to oil and gas
companies, which have already started exploring in the area.
French firm Total and Texas-based Anadarko and the
only two companies so far holding licenses from Kenya to blocks in the
disputed area. They have no immediate plans to drill there. Both
companies declined to comment on the border issue.
UN intervention?
Martin Heya, Kenya's petroleum commissioner, said
he was confident the United Nations, which could be requested to help
delineate the border, would agree with his country's view, and he
expected companies to continue their exploration activities.
"Do you stop working just because the boundaries have not been determined? No," he told Reuters.
Consultants involved in border demarcation said the
two countries won't have a legitimate boundary until they sign a treaty
that delimits the border, but that is unlikely to happen until Somalia
has a stable government.
Heya says the maritime border between the two
countries should run horizontally east from the point at which the two
countries touch on land. The practice in east Africa has been for
boundaries to run along the line of latitude, Heya said.
"For the time being, this is where we believe the
border should be," he said, referring to the horizontal east-west
maritime border.
Somali officials say the onshore border continues into the ocean
diagonally southeast and that a horizontal border would be unfair.
If the Somalia-Kenya border was continuous from land into
the ocean, making it lie diagonally from the northwest to the southeast,
Kenya would be left with a small triangle in the Indian Ocean over
which it could claim mineral rights.
Kenya has had stable diplomatic relations with its
war-torn neighbour, but the east African economic powerhouse sent troops
into Somalia last October in pursuit of al Qaeda-linked al Shabaab
rebels, accusing the militants of cross-border attacks on its territory.
Unstable Somalia
Joshua Brien, a legal adviser with the Commonwealth
Secretariat, who has consulted with Kenya on maritime border matters,
said the two countries won't have a legitimate boundary until they write
and sign a treaty.
The absence of a stable government in Somalia could hinder this process, he said.
Somalia's government has been battling an
insurgency by al Qaeda-linked rebels for years and barely controls the
capital, even with the help of an African peace-keeping force executing a
UN mandate to prop up its Western-backed government. It is unlikely it
would have the ability to wage a war on Kenya.
Brien also said the two countries' border
disagreement is not unique. Throughout the world there are unresolved
maritime boundaries.
"It is not uncommon for maritime boundary issues to
become heated, especially where petroleum exploration and development
is concerned," he said.
"In the case of Somalia, the matter is exacerbated
by the governance and offshore security situation in that country, both
of which are well known."
Kenya is pushing on with oil and gas exploration,
but petroleum commissioner Heya acknowledged the border dispute could
cause problems in the future.
Heya said companies will be unable to drill in
their respective blocks until the boundary is settled, because it will
be unclear where to direct revenue from a resource discovery.
"Where the revenue goes is not apparent," Heya said.
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