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Monday, July 28, 2014

Fitch Ratings affirms Kenya at 'B+'; outlook stable

Money Markets

Oil exploration in Turkana. Export of oil would  be another credit positive for Kenya. Photo/FILE

Oil exploration in Turkana. Export of oil would be another credit positive for Kenya. Photo/FILE 

By BDAfrica.com reporter
In Summary
  • Fitch Ratings affirmed Kenya's long-term foreign and local currency default ratings at 'B+' and 'BB-'.
  • The firm also affirmed Kenya's short-term foreign currency IDR at 'B' and Country Ceiling at 'BB-'.
  • The issue ratings on Kenya's senior unsecured foreign currency bonds have been affirmed at 'B+'.

Weak governance remains a constraint on Kenya’s sovereign credit ratings, global firm Fitch has said, while affirming the country at ‘B+’ and stable.
 
Other limitations include much lower per capita income than other nations of similar rating and weaknesses in business environment and human development.
In a statement released Friday, Fitch Ratings noted governance has been “worsening in recent years based on World Bank indices”.
A lack of evidence, they noted, is expected to lead to the International Criminal Court case against President Uhuru Kenyatta being dropped while that against Deputy President William Ruto struggles on amid “challenges bringing witnesses to The Hague”.
Per capita income is “only one-third of the 'B' median” while scores on measures of the business environment and human development are lower than those for peer nations.
Fitch Ratings says Kenya's long-term foreign and local currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDR) remained unchanged at 'B+' and 'BB-', with stable outlooks.
Rwanda, meanwhile, was upgraded to 'B+' in a rating report released on the same day.
The firm also affirmed Kenya's short-term foreign currency IDR at 'B' and Country Ceiling at 'BB-'.
The issue ratings on Kenya's senior unsecured foreign currency bonds have been affirmed at 'B+'.
The credit rating shows the safety for bond investors in an investment. A higher rating indicates a higher probability the issuer of the bond will make the interest and principal payments. For issuers, a higher credit rating means they will pay a lower rate of interest to borrow money though the issuance of bonds.
International credit ratings relate to either foreign currency or local currency commitments and, in both cases, assess the capacity to meet these commitments using a globally applicable scale. The local currency international rating measures the likelihood of repayment in the currency of the jurisdiction in which the issuer is domiciled. It does not take account of the possibility that it will not be possible to convert local currency into foreign currency, or make transfers between sovereign jurisdictions (transfer and convertibility [T&C] risk).
Foreign currency ratings additionally consider the profile of the issuer or note after taking into account transfer and convertibility risk. This risk is usually communicated for different countries by the Country Ceiling, which "caps" the foreign currency ratings of most, though not all, issuers within a given country.

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