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Tuesday, May 6, 2014

Trade and security at the heart of Uhuru’s Turkey, Qatar visits

President Uhuru Kenyatta cuts a cake to mark his one year in office in celebration organised by Turkish-Kenyan Business Council chairman Abdulwalli Shariff (right) in Istanbul, TurkeY. During President Kenyatta’s visit to Turkey, the two countries struck a deal where Turkey will support Kenya in making its police service more effective in dealing with threats to national security. PHOTO/FILE

President Uhuru Kenyatta cuts a cake to mark his one year in office in celebration organised by Turkish-Kenyan Business Council chairman Abdulwalli Shariff (right) in Istanbul, TurkeY. During President Kenyatta’s visit to Turkey, the two countries struck a deal where Turkey will support Kenya in making its police service more effective in dealing with threats to national security. PHOTO/FILE 
By Abdi Latif Dahir abdilatifdahir@gmail.com
April was a busy month for President Uhuru Kenyatta.
He attended the European Union-Africa Summit in Belgium, joined Rwanda to commemorate the 20th anniversary of the genocide, attended Tanzania’s 50th union celebration, and flew to London to support First Lady Margaret Kenyatta in her debut 42-kilometre marathon to raise funds for improving maternal health and nutrition.

Most of the President’s talks in these countries centred on democracy, fighting poverty, infrastructure development, and integration.

However, it was the President’s trip to Turkey and Qatar that showcased Kenya’s commitment to rejuvenate business ties with non-traditional partners and to attract investment.
In his visit to the two states, Mr Kenyatta clinched concessionary financing deals for large-scale projects, including energy generation and infrastructure development. He also struck cooperation agreements in security besides initiatives to build both cultural and diplomatic bridges with the host nations.

“This means a huge leap for Kenya’s East-dominated market and trade. This would certainly reassure Turkish and Qatari investors to deepen their trade relations with Kenya,” said Mr Abdihakim Ainte, the managing director of international consultancy firm, Transitional Advisory.

In Turkey, Mr Kenyatta signed bilateral agreements that will see the two countries cooperate in energy exploration and exchange expertise on how to revitalise local manufacturing firms.
On the diplomatic front, Mr Kenyatta promised to post an ambassador to Kenya’s embassy in Turkey. The relationship between the two nations stretches “back beyond the 16th century,” he noted. Mr Kenyatta was referring to the Ottoman Empire rule which, for over six centuries, stretched across three continents from Europe to the Horn of Africa.

In return, Turkey promised to open a centre in Kenya to promote cultural ties.
On its part, oil-rich Qatar pledged to help Kenya establish a financial hub, finance construction of the Sh13 billion Isiolo-Garbatula-Modogashe road, and provide technical assistance to the Kenya Ports Authority as well as the Rift Valley Railways.
Mr Kenyatta invited Qatari investors to assist Kenya in exploring oil and natural gas in efforts to hasten the country’s push to tap the resource.

SECURITY
Besides trade, security in the Horn of Africa featured prominently in the deliberations between Mr Kenyatta and his Qatari and Turkish hosts.
The team discussed possible measures to confront radicalisation of the youth in Kenya, how to better equip security agencies to deal with insecurity, and how to handle war-torn Somalia.
This, analysts say, is part of Kenya’s efforts to steer Somalia back to stability as Nairobi bears the brunt of the effects of the chaos in its unstable neighbour.

Besides isolated explosions in local towns, the biggest blow to Kenya’s security came on 21 September, 2013, when Al-Shabaab militants killed at least 60 people in Nairobi’s Westgate Mall.
“Part of the reason interventions have failed in Somalia is that efforts to stabilise the country have been ad hoc, uncoordinated, and driven by the unique interests of the contributing countries rather than a consensus among international partners. Kenya’s outreach to Qatar and Turkey is another iteration of this phenomenon,” said Mr Tres Thomas, a PhD student at George Mason University who focuses on federalism in Somalia.

Notably, Kenya, Turkey, and Qatar have different approaches to fixing the runaway insecurity in Somalia.
Since October 2011, Kenya’s forces have been fighting Al-Shabaab in Somalia as part of the African Union Mission in Somalia.

On its part, the Arab emirate, Qatar, has been providing aid to Somalia besides carrying out humanitarian assistance programmes in the country in an effort to influence politics in Mogadishu.
Turkey’s intervention in Somalia has been on a larger scale. For instance, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan became the most high-profile figure in 2011 to visit the country after two decades of civil war.

MORAL RESPONSIBILITY
Since then, the Ankara government has arguably achieved a lot. It was the first country to establish an embassy in the capital, Mogadishu. Further, Turkish Airlines was the maiden global carrier to start a bi-weekly flight to the Somali capital. Also, Turkey’s development agency, TIKA, has tarmacked Mogadishu’s main roads while also restoring once bullet-riddled schools and hospitals.
This, Mr Ainte says, forms part of Ankara’s “moral responsibility” to care for Somalia, even as it spreads its political footprint in the country.

“Part of Turkey’s tear on Somalia is to ensure the stabilisation of the country through diplomacy and leveraging allies to treat Somalia differently. This is Ankara’s moral responsibility,” Mr Ainte said.
He added that although the talks between Kenya and Turkey were heavily dominated by business and diplomatic discussions, “I would like to think that Mr Erdogan expressed concern over Kenya’s military role in Somalia and its mistreatment of the Somali nationals living in Kenya.”
Kenya shoulders a hefty financial burden as a result of insecurity in Somalia. There is a large number of refugees, mainly from Somalia and South Sudan, in Kenya.

Analysts say help from Qatar and Turkey, which might include training of Kenyan police, could cut security-related costs.
“On the humanitarian side, Kenya believes that Qatar and Turkey’s work in Somalia can help establish a better environment that will allow refugees in Kenya to return to Somalia,” Mr Thomas said.

In Turkey, Mr Kenyatta signed an MoU on security cooperation between the Kenya Police Service and the Turkish National Police. The deal is part of broad commitments on defence between the two governments geared towards reconstructing Somalia.
“Turkey is making a big contribution in restoring peace in Somalia and Kenya is also playing a major role. We’ll work together,” President Abdulla Gül of Turkey said.

The same was replicated in Qatar, where Mr Kenyatta and the Emir, Sheikh Tamim Bin Hamad Al-Thani, agreed to cooperate in defence and security, particularly in the stabilisation of Somalia.
The Emir said his government would assist in the deradicalisation of the youth in Kenya as part of its ongoing security interventions in the country.

“We will also help in the provision of equipment and security gadgets as part of our contribution to the East African peace initiatives,” the Emir noted.
Mr Kenyatta said Kenya seeks to work closely with Qatar in dealing with challenges such as the instability in Somalia. He expressed the need for the people of Somalia to be assisted to settle so that they can engage in gainful business.

“This will ultimately not only benefit them as a country but all of us in the region. We need to partner with other nations to achieve that goal. These are some of the things we have come here to discuss,” Mr Kenyatta said.
However, despite the training and equipment support, Kenya must step up the surveillance of her borders, weed out corruption, and address the use of extrajudicial and other counter-productive tactics used by the police.

NEW ALLIANCES
Mr Kenyatta’s state visits to Turkey and Qatar also brought to the fore a tactical shift in Kenya’s foreign policy in scouting for new development partners.
An interesting angle to look at it is the Shia-Sunni (the two biggest branches of Islam) divide.
Qatar and Turkey are both dominated by Sunni Muslims. However, Saudi Arabia (Sunni) and Iran (Shia) have dominated trade ties with Kenya for years. At the moment, Saudi Arabia and Iran have investments in agriculture, energy, trade, and technical cooperation with Nairobi.

“Considering the eternal competition pitting the ‘old’ — Saudi (Sunni) and Iran (Shia) — and the ‘new’ Qatar and Turkey, I don’t think Kenya’s policy is so much on a shift, but rather a reasonable pivot to what is realistically a viable option, without necessarily cutting ties with Saudi Arabia and Iran, who both have a huge presence in Kenya,” Mr Abdullahi Boru Halakhe, a Horn of Africa policy analyst, said.

It should be noted, however, that in 2012, Kenya cancelled importation of four million tonnes of crude oil from Iran, citing “sanction threats” from Western nations who had slapped embargoes on Tehran.

SHAPING POLICY
Mr Ainte says the decision by Mr Kenyatta to visit Turkey and Qatar does not necessarily mean the administration is keen on changing its foreign policy based on denomination.
There area a large number of Sunni Muslims in Kenya, particularly in the country’s leadership, who are shaping the policy towards Muslim nations in general.

The President was accompanied by Foreign Affairs and International Trade Cabinet secretary Amina Mohamed, her Mining counterpart, Najib Balala, and the Majority Leader of the National Assembly, Adan Duale.

In one of the communiqués, Ms Mohamed is described as being “instrumental in the bilateral negotiations laying the foundations for the agreements.”
“That’s to say Kenya’s relation with Sunni-dominated countries will be safe and secure for the foreseeable future,” Mr Ainte said.

Nonetheless, whether seeking to build new economic, diplomatic, cultural, or trade bridges, Mr Kenyatta’s visits to Qatar and Turkey indicate a fresh approach in which Kenya is seeking to build ties, no matter the ideological or historical background of the “new” or “old” partners.
This practice, Mr Halakhe says, is termed as double dipping: “Continue with the old partners and add on the new emerging economic powers.”

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