Suppose you’re trying to answer a multiple-choice exam question with exactly two options, A and B.
You’re
not sure which is right, so you toss a coin: heads, you choose A, tails
B. The coin lands heads. By good luck, A is the correct answer. But
what if anything had gone wrong?
Some will say that
nothing has: although you relied on a terribly unreliable method to get
your answer, it was correct. Others will say that something has gone
seriously wrong: you had no business relying on such a seriously
unreliable method. You should have done your homework and not relied on
luck.
Tossing a coin, they will say, means relying on
information that, even if correct, could very easily have been wrong.
And it is a bad idea to make decisions on information which could easily
have been wrong.
That dividing line neatly marks the
combatants in Kenya’s ICC debates. Some would prefer the cases to go on,
though it is clear the methods by which the evidence was acquired are
unreliable, as is the evidence itself. They hope to get lucky.
The
other side argues that there is insufficient evidence of the right
quality. Consequently, even if the evidence actually favoured a
conviction, that conviction would be unsafe, because it was based on
evidence that was unsafe.
We can no longer seriously
deny that the prosecution’s evidence was both weak and unreliably
acquired, and that this is part of a pattern.
Return to the Witness 4 saga. He gave differing, inconsistent statements about a central event in the prosecution’s case.
The prosecution did not disclose them to the court or defence in good time.
Judge Christine van den Wyngaert, found that the prosecutor could not explain why she had failed to take proper notice of material inconsistencies in the witness’s statements.
Judge Christine van den Wyngaert, found that the prosecutor could not explain why she had failed to take proper notice of material inconsistencies in the witness’s statements.
RIGHTS OF THE ACCUSED
As the judge noted, three different explanations were offered by the prosecution for the failure, and the fact of the matter was that the episode – Witness 4’s giving inconsistent statements about a key matter, and the prosecution either not finding out, or not informing the court in time – showed that the prosecution’s handling of the evidence was negligent.
As the judge noted, three different explanations were offered by the prosecution for the failure, and the fact of the matter was that the episode – Witness 4’s giving inconsistent statements about a key matter, and the prosecution either not finding out, or not informing the court in time – showed that the prosecution’s handling of the evidence was negligent.
On this basis, she found that the
prosecution had failed to properly investigate its case, and that its
failure was a violation of the prosecution’s duty to respect the rights
of the accused.
More recently, a very similar problem
has arisen: a witness who had given a statement saying one thing has
recently said something inconsistent.
What we have is
not simply a one-off failure by the prosecution to manage its evidence
well; rather, it is a pattern of negligence in the handling of evidence,
and a pattern against which the prosecution has already been warned.
Those
who argue that the evidence is too unreliable to go forward have the
facts, not to mention the prosecutor, in their favour. This is a strong
point.
Those who support the ICC’s judicial process in
the hope of relieving the pain of the victims of the post-election
violence may feel that it is better to take their chances with a flawed
judicial process. That judgment is mistaken: in relying on a provably
unreliable prosecutorial mechanism, they are running unnecessary risks
on the victims’ account.
But though the prosecutor’s case has been found severely wanting, one should acknowledge her courage in admitting that it is.
The
long-term future of international justice requires that it be
impartial. The prosecutor’s admission that she lacks the evidence to
take President Uhuru Kenyatta’s case further is a powerful indicator
that she is willing to assess matters with the requisite impartiality.
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